PRSGC-9 - Dec 11, 2008 Thu 9PM PDF Print E-mail
Written by Hector - N1TKK   
Tuesday, 09 December 2008 00:42

Status - Tentative

 

No major changes from last predictions

Prediction are based on a Full Flight estimated burst at 86,000 Ft

NOTE: Is questionable and too early to know if we are going to have a flight on Saturday.  If we fly It looks so far the the flight will be a Control Cut,

The Flight control team will talk it over tomorrow afternoon just in case there are any major changes and decide the status of this flight.  An update will be available between 2 and 5 PM AST tomorrow.

KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR UPDATES HERE 

 

 


Saturday Forecast
Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming variably cloudy. Scattered showers.Highs 86 lower elevations ranging to 73 higher elevations.East winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

 

.MARINE...ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH SEAS IN THE 5 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. BUOY 41403 200 MILES NORTH OF ST THOMAS IS SHOWING 9.5 FOOT SEAS...WITH ENE SWELLS PASSING THROUGH AT AROUND 9 SECONDS. ALSO STRONG ENERGY COMING IN AT AROUND 7 TO 8 SECONDS...SO EXPECT VERY CHOPPY SEAS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS FOR TODAY...EXCEPT THE NEAR SHORE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO. THERE IS APRECAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR THE NEAR SHORE SOUTH WATERS.


SYNOPSIS:

 

Forecast are based on GFS and NAM short range model, The flight is still looking tricky we don't have ideal conditions, the highest winds are between 60 and 70 MPH at 40k ft and over 30MPH between 20K and 55K ft.Overall trajectory is to the East-South-East.  Also ash from the Soufiere Hills Volcano is expected to stay well south of the island.

 

As of this writing all weather related criteria are Tentative



SCENARIOS:

Full Flight:

  • Launch at UPR Rio Piedras around
  • burst around 92k' around T+84 min near Yabucoa
  • Landing in water, Between east coast of PR and Vieques Island T+101 min
  • Flight time of 140 minutes (2 hr 20 min)

Control Cut Flight:

  • Launch at UPR Rio Piedras around
  • burst around 50k' around T+55 min near El Yunque
  • Landing in El Yunque around T+94 min
  • Flight time of 82 minutes (1 hr 22 min)

 

No part of the ascent flight will be inside of the flight path of San Juan International Airport (SJU).  It will be between Route 12 and Route 9

Last Updated on Friday, 12 December 2008 01:47
 
PRSGC-9 - Dec 9, 2008 Tue 4 PM PDF Print E-mail
Written by Hector - N1TKK   
Tuesday, 09 December 2008 00:42

Status - Tentative

 

This is an intermediate update for tonight class.

Prediction are based on a Full Flight estimated burst at 92,000 Ft

NOTE: Is questionable and too early to know if we are going to have a FULL flight or Control Cut, KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR UPDATES HERE 

 


SYNOPSIS:

 

Forecast based on GFS  is looking tricky we don't have ideal conditions, the highest winds are 71MPH at 40k ft and over 30MPH between 30K and 55K ft.Overall trajectory is to the South-East.

 

As of this writing all weather related criteria are Tentative



SCENARIOS:

Full Flight:

  • Launch at UPR Rio Piedras around
  • burst around 92k' around T+84 min near Yabucoa
  • Landing in water, Between east coast of PR and Vieques Island T+101 min
  • Flight time of 140 minutes (2 hr 20 min)

Control Cut Flight:

  • Launch at UPR Rio Piedras around
  • burst around 50k' around T+55 min near El Yunque
  • Landing in El Yunque around T+94 min
  • Flight time of 82 minutes (1 hr 22 min)

 

No part of the ascent flight will be inside of the flight path of San Juan International Airport (SJU).  It will be between Route 12 and Route 9

Last Updated on Tuesday, 09 December 2008 20:37
 
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